The state, especially in southeast Connecticut, will feel the fringe effects of tropical cyclone Dorian as it passes well south and east of the region on Friday

Rain chances increase today and tonight, due to Dorian and an upper level disturbance that approaches from the west.

Unless there is a change in Dorian’s track, there’s only a 50 percent chance of rain on Friday. Most of the rain will be falling in southeastern Massachusetts and on Cape Cod.

Watch the track of Dorian on radar here.

But, the NWS says there may be interaction between moisture from Dorian and an approaching weather system.

“Most of the models imply this interaction, but to varying degrees. This leads to uncertainty regarding rain amounts as the potential for heavier than forecast rainfall exists if there is more interaction between the systems,” the NWS says in its forecast discussion.

“With increasing easterly winds and cloudy skies today,temperatures will remain cooler than normal, peaking around 70 degrees,” the NWS says.

“Any impacts from Dorian will be confined to coastal sections of the Atlantic coast line with dangerous rip currents, high surf, and the potential for minor coastal flooding.”

The NWS has posted a Coastal Flood Advisory for the Fairfield and New Haven counties’ shoreline because Dorian’s easterly winds will push more water into Long Island Sound. The advisory - in effect from 5 to 9 p,m. - says high tide will be one to two feet above normal.

High tide is around 6 p.m. For specific tide times, click here.

“Shallow flooding is expected in the most vulnerable locations near the waterfront and shoreline,” the advisory says.

Projected wind gusts are 35 mph in Stonington, 30 mph in New London, 29 mph in Clinton, 26 mph in Bridgeport and New Haven, 21 mph in Danbury and 16 mph Torrington.

Potential for 40-50 mph wind gusts over Cape Cape and possibly up to 60 mph at Nantucket.

Because wind speeds and rainfall will vary across Connecticut, click on the specific forecasts for these communities:

The shoreline: Greenwich, Stamford, Norwalk, Bridgeport, Milford, New Haven, Madison, Old Saybrook, Mystic, Stonington.

Inland Connecticut: New Canaan, Ridgefield, Danbury, Trumbull, Shelton, New Milford, Litchfield, Torrington, West Hartford, Middletown, Windham, Norwich.

The storm pulls away late tonight and Saturday.

Any rain ends, and gusty northeast winds shift around to the northwest. Sunshine returns Saturday, as temperatures rise closer to seasonal norms, middle to upper 70s.

Sunday will be most sunny.